Every figure sourced. The index open. Grounded AI. Live war-gaming. 18 datasets, ~40,000 records. The transparent alternative to black-box power ranks.
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Transparent fragility score 0–100: conflict risk + active violence + displacement + governance. Missing inputs excluded & renormalised — never guessed.
scoring fragility...
acquiring feed...
Forward-looking trajectory: armed-conflict probability near-term (1–3 mo) vs ~1 year out. Rising = escalating, falling = de-escalating. A forecast, not observed change.
reading forecasts...
Market-implied probabilities of geopolitical events — the crowd's money as a leading indicator.
reading the tape...