CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Australia vs Timor-Leste

Australia
99%
RAI
Timor-Leste
1%

Verdict

Australia holds a 99–1 advantage over Timor-Leste on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (100% of the combined total, $35.3bn) and economic size (GDP) (100% of the combined total, $1.8tn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorAustraliaShareTimor-LesteWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$35.3bn
100%0%
$47.9m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$1.8tn
100%0%
$1.9bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
60.0k
97%3%
2.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
213
98%2%
520%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Australia dossier →Full Timor-Leste dossier →Run a war game →

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