CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Guinea vs Mali

Guinea
42%
RAI
Mali
58%

Verdict

Mali holds a 58–42 advantage over Guinea on the Relative Advantage Index.

The margin is driven by military spending (61% of the combined total, $953m) and economic size (GDP) (52% of the combined total, $26.8bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorGuineaShareMaliWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$601m
39%61%
$953m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$25.0bn
48%52%
$26.8bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
10.0k
32%68%
21.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
5
50%50%
520%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Guinea dossier →Full Mali dossier →Run a war game →

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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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