CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Philippines vs Thailand

Philippines
49%
RAI
Thailand
51%

Verdict

Philippines and Thailand are close to evenly matched, 49–51 on the Relative Advantage Index.

Philippines leads on military spending (52% of the combined total, $6.4bn) and logistics & power projection (66% of the combined total, 127), which Thailand offsets elsewhere.

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorPhilippinesShareThailandWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$6.4bn
52%48%
$6.0bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$462bn
47%53%
$527bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
145.0k
29%71%
361.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
127
66%34%
6420%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Philippines dossier →Full Thailand dossier →Run a war game →

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Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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