CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan

Turkmenistan
27%
RAI
Uzbekistan
73%

Verdict

Uzbekistan holds a 73–27 advantage over Turkmenistan on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (93% of the combined total, $1.4bn) and economic size (GDP) (69% of the combined total, $115bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorTurkmenistanShareUzbekistanWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$112m
7%93%
$1.4bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$51.4bn
31%69%
$115bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
37.0k
44%56%
48.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
8
40%60%
1220%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Turkmenistan dossier →Full Uzbekistan dossier →Run a war game →

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