Africa / BWA

Botswana

Botswana ranks #150 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.2/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 18/100 (#140 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
43/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
18/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (0)

No alliance data loaded.

Disputes (10)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
7
Ports
0
Satellites
1
Subsea cables
0
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2024): 1 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

33% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 384 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 847 hosted

Compare Botswana with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.