America / ECU

Ecuador

Ecuador ranks #80 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.9/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 39.7/100 (#42 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
72/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Active armed violence
52/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Governance fragility
63/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (34)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Neighbours (3)

Disputes (43)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
17
Ports
3
Satellites
2
Subsea cables
5
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 2 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

47% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 5.7K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 26.4K hosted

Compare Ecuador with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.