Guatemala
Guatemala ranks #114 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.4/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 32.1/100 (#66 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (34)
- Guyanadefense 1991
- Belizedefense 1991
- Canadadefense 1989
- St. Kitts and Nevisdefense 1984
- Bahamasdefense 1982
- St. Vincent and the Grenadinesdefense 1981
- Antigua and Barbudadefense 1981
- St. Luciadefense 1979
- Dominicadefense 1979
- Surinamedefense 1977
- Grenadadefense 1975
- Jamaicadefense 1969
- Trinidad and Tobagodefense 1967
- Barbadosdefense 1967
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Neighbours (6)
Disputes (32)
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
- Belize5× · 2001
- Mexico4× · 1984
- United Kingdom4× · 1977
- El Salvador6× · 1970
- United States3× · 1958
- Germany2× · 1941
- Japan1× · 1941
- Italy1× · 1941
- Honduras4× · 1928
- Nicaragua1× · 1906
- Spain1× · 1890
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2024): 2 transfers
83% of imports from United States — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 35K refugees originated · 573K IDPs · 1.6K hosted
Belize
Costa Rica
Honduras
Mexico
Nicaragua