CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Belize vs Honduras

Belize
15%
RAI
Honduras
85%

Verdict

Honduras holds a 85–15 advantage over Belize on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (95% of the combined total, $580m) and economic size (GDP) (92% of the combined total, $37.1bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorBelizeShareHondurasWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$33.3m
5%95%
$580m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$3.2bn
8%92%
$37.1bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
2.0k
12%88%
15.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
9
45%55%
1120%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Belize dossier →Full Honduras dossier →Run a war game →

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Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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