CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Belize vs Guatemala

Belize
16%
RAI
Guatemala
84%

Verdict

Guatemala holds a 84–16 advantage over Belize on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (95% of the combined total, $633m) and economic size (GDP) (97% of the combined total, $113bn). Belize leads on logistics & power projection.

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorBelizeShareGuatemalaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$33.3m
5%95%
$633m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$3.2bn
3%97%
$113bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
2.0k
10%90%
18.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
9
56%44%
720%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Belize dossier →Full Guatemala dossier →Run a war game →

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Belize vs CubaBelize vs HondurasBelize vs MexicoCosta Rica vs GuatemalaEl Salvador vs Guatemala

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Every combination inside the top 30 of the Composite Power Index.

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RussiaEthiopia v Saudi ArabiaEthiopia v South KoreaEthiopia v SpainEthiopia v ThailandEthiopia v TürkiyeEthiopia v UkraineEthiopia v United KingdomEthiopia v United StatesEthiopia v VietnamFrance v GermanyFrance v IndiaFrance v IndonesiaFrance v IranFrance v ItalyFrance v JapanFrance v MexicoFrance v MyanmarFrance v North KoreaFrance v PakistanFrance v PhilippinesFrance v PolandFrance v RussiaFrance v Saudi ArabiaFrance v South KoreaFrance v SpainFrance v ThailandFrance v TürkiyeFrance v UkraineFrance v United KingdomFrance v United StatesFrance v VietnamGermany v IndiaGermany v IndonesiaGermany v IranGermany v ItalyGermany v JapanGermany v MexicoGermany v MyanmarGermany v North KoreaGermany v PakistanGermany v PhilippinesGermany v PolandGermany v RussiaGermany v Saudi ArabiaGermany v South KoreaGermany v SpainGermany v ThailandGermany v TürkiyeGermany v UkraineGermany v United KingdomGermany v United StatesGermany v VietnamIndia v IndonesiaIndia v IranIndia v ItalyIndia v JapanIndia v 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PhilippinesItaly v PolandItaly v RussiaItaly v Saudi ArabiaItaly v South KoreaItaly v SpainItaly v ThailandItaly v TürkiyeItaly v UkraineItaly v United KingdomItaly v United StatesItaly v VietnamJapan v MexicoJapan v MyanmarJapan v North KoreaJapan v PakistanJapan v PhilippinesJapan v PolandJapan v RussiaJapan v Saudi ArabiaJapan v South KoreaJapan v SpainJapan v ThailandJapan v TürkiyeJapan v UkraineJapan v United KingdomJapan v United StatesJapan v VietnamMexico v MyanmarMexico v North KoreaMexico v PakistanMexico v PhilippinesMexico v PolandMexico v RussiaMexico v Saudi ArabiaMexico v South KoreaMexico v SpainMexico v ThailandMexico v TürkiyeMexico v UkraineMexico v United KingdomMexico v United StatesMexico v VietnamMyanmar v North KoreaMyanmar v PakistanMyanmar v PhilippinesMyanmar v PolandMyanmar v RussiaMyanmar v Saudi ArabiaMyanmar v South KoreaMyanmar v SpainMyanmar v ThailandMyanmar v TürkiyeMyanmar v UkraineMyanmar v United KingdomMyanmar v United StatesMyanmar v 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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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United StatesCyprus v EgyptCyprus v GreeceCyprus v IsraelCyprus v LebanonCyprus v SyriaCyprus v TürkiyeCzechia v GermanyCzechia v PolandCzechia v SlovakiaDenmark v EstoniaDenmark v FranceDenmark v GermanyDenmark v LatviaDenmark v LithuaniaDenmark v NetherlandsDenmark v NorwayDenmark v PolandDenmark v SwedenDenmark v United KingdomDjibouti v EritreaDjibouti v EthiopiaDjibouti v Saudi ArabiaDjibouti v SomaliaDjibouti v YemenDominica v GrenadaDominica v St. Kitts and NevisDominica v St. LuciaDominica v St. Vincent and the GrenadinesDominica v VenezuelaDominican Republic v HaitiDominican Republic v JamaicaDominican Republic v St. Kitts and NevisDR Congo v RwandaDR Congo v South SudanDR Congo v SudanDR Congo v TanzaniaDR Congo v UgandaDR Congo v ZambiaEcuador v PeruEgypt v GreeceEgypt v IraqEgypt v IsraelEgypt v JordanEgypt v LebanonEgypt v LibyaEgypt v SudanEgypt v SyriaEl Salvador v GuatemalaEl Salvador v HondurasEl Salvador v NicaraguaEquatorial Guinea v GabonEquatorial Guinea v NigeriaEquatorial Guinea v Sao Tome and PrincipeEritrea v EthiopiaEritrea v Saudi ArabiaEritrea v SudanEritrea v YemenEstonia v FinlandEstonia v GermanyEstonia v LatviaEstonia v PolandEstonia v SwedenEswatini v MozambiqueEswatini v South AfricaEthiopia v KenyaEthiopia v SomaliaEthiopia v South SudanEthiopia v SudanEthiopia v YemenFiji v TongaFiji v TuvaluFinland v GermanyFinland v LatviaFinland v LithuaniaFinland v NorwayFinland v SwedenFrance v IrelandFrance v LuxembourgFrance v MonacoFrance v NetherlandsFrance v SwitzerlandFrance v TunisiaFrance v VaticanGabon v NigeriaGabon v Sao Tome and PrincipeGambia v SenegalGeorgia v RussiaGeorgia v TürkiyeGeorgia v UkraineGermany v HungaryGermany v LatviaGermany v LithuaniaGermany v LuxembourgGermany v NetherlandsGermany v NorwayGermany v SerbiaGermany v SwedenGermany v SwitzerlandGhana v NigeriaGhana v TogoGreece v LibyaGreece v MaltaGreece v North MacedoniaGrenada v GuyanaGrenada v St. Kitts and NevisGrenada v St. Vincent and the 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Sts.Indonesia v PalauIndonesia v Papua New GuineaIndonesia v SingaporeIndonesia v Timor-LesteIran v IraqIran v KazakhstanIran v KuwaitIran v OmanIran v QatarIran v TurkmenistanIran v United Arab EmiratesIraq v JordanIraq v KuwaitIraq v QatarIraq v SyriaIreland v United KingdomIsrael v JordanIsrael v LebanonIsrael v Saudi ArabiaIsrael v SyriaItaly v LibyaItaly v MaltaItaly v MonacoItaly v MontenegroItaly v San MarinoItaly v SloveniaItaly v SwitzerlandItaly v TunisiaItaly v VaticanJamaica v NicaraguaJapan v TaiwanJordan v Saudi ArabiaJordan v SyriaKazakhstan v KyrgyzstanKazakhstan v RussiaKazakhstan v TurkmenistanKazakhstan v UzbekistanKenya v SomaliaKenya v South SudanKenya v SudanKenya v TanzaniaKenya v UgandaKiribati v Marshall IslandsKiribati v NauruKiribati v TuvaluKuwait v QatarKuwait v Saudi ArabiaKyrgyzstan v TajikistanKyrgyzstan v UzbekistanLaos v MyanmarLaos v ThailandLaos v VietnamLatvia v LithuaniaLebanon v SyriaLebanon v TürkiyeLesotho v South AfricaLiberia v Sierra LeoneLibya v MaltaLibya v NigerLibya v TunisiaLiechtenstein v SwitzerlandMadagascar v MozambiqueMadagascar v SeychellesMalawi v MozambiqueMalawi v TanzaniaMalawi v ZambiaMalaysia v PhilippinesMalaysia v SingaporeMalaysia v VietnamMali v MauritaniaMali v SenegalMalta v TunisiaMauritania v MoroccoMauritania v SenegalMauritania v SpainMauritius v SeychellesMicronesia, Fed. Sts. v PalauMicronesia, Fed. Sts. v Papua New GuineaMoldova v RomaniaMoldova v UkraineMonaco v SpainMongolia v RussiaMontenegro v SerbiaMorocco v PortugalMorocco v SpainMozambique v SeychellesMozambique v South AfricaMozambique v TanzaniaMozambique v ZambiaMozambique v ZimbabweNamibia v South AfricaNamibia v ZambiaNetherlands v NorwayNetherlands v United KingdomNicaragua v PanamaNigeria v Sao Tome and PrincipeNigeria v TogoNorth Macedonia v SerbiaNorway v United KingdomOman v PakistanOman v QatarOman v SomaliaOman v United Arab EmiratesOman v YemenPalau v PhilippinesPapua New Guinea v Solomon IslandsPhilippines v TaiwanPoland v RomaniaPoland v SlovakiaPortugal v SpainQatar v United Arab EmiratesRomania v RussiaRussia v TurkmenistanRwanda v TanzaniaRwanda v UgandaSamoa v TongaSaudi Arabia v United Arab EmiratesSaudi Arabia v YemenSeychelles v TanzaniaSlovakia v UkraineSolomon Islands v VanuatuSomalia v TanzaniaSouth Africa v ZimbabweSouth Sudan v SudanSouth Sudan v UgandaSpain v TunisiaSt. Kitts and Nevis v St. LuciaSt. Lucia v Trinidad and TobagoSudan v UgandaSuriname v Trinidad and TobagoSweden v United KingdomTajikistan v UzbekistanTürkiye v VaticanTurkmenistan v UzbekistanZambia v Zimbabwe