CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Bulgaria vs North Macedonia

Bulgaria
85%
RAI
North Macedonia
15%

Verdict

Bulgaria holds a 85–15 advantage over North Macedonia on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (87% of the combined total, $2.6bn) and economic size (GDP) (87% of the combined total, $113bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorBulgariaShareNorth MacedoniaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$2.6bn
87%13%
$375m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$113bn
87%13%
$17.0bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
37.0k
82%18%
8.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
9
82%18%
220%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Bulgaria dossier →Full North Macedonia dossier →Run a war game →

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Every combination inside the top 30 of the Composite Power Index.

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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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