Europe / BGR

Bulgaria

Bulgaria ranks #89 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.7/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 20.9/100 (#125 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
41/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
44/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (16)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (66)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
9
Ports
0
Satellites
5
Subsea cables
3
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 10 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

50% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 533 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 105.6K hosted

Compare Bulgaria with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.