Africa / LBY

Libya

Libya ranks #103 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.5/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 28.4/100 (#84 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
67/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
88/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Active armed violence
10/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (26)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (89)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
13
Ports
14
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
6
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2024): 1 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

100% of imports from Türkiye — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 17.2K refugees originated · 32.8K IDPs · 552.5K hosted

Compare Libya with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.