Asia / IRQ

Iraq

Iraq ranks #37 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (2.8/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 67.8/100 (#27 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forecast conflict risk
64/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS
Forced displacement
86/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Active armed violence
53/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Governance fragility
80/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (26)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (167)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
30
Ports
6
Satellites
1
Subsea cables
4
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 8% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 1 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

24% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 270.7K refugees originated · 997.3K IDPs · 322.3K hosted

Compare Iraq with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.