Somalia
Somalia ranks #137 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.3/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 85.4/100 (#11 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (19)
- Yemennonaggression 1990
- Egyptnonaggression 1989
- Djiboutinonaggression 1975
- Syrianonaggression 1974
- Tunisianonaggression 1974
- United Arab Emiratesnonaggression 1974
- Bahrainnonaggression 1974
- Algerianonaggression 1974
- Iraqnonaggression 1974
- Jordannonaggression 1974
- Kuwaitnonaggression 1974
- Lebanonnonaggression 1974
- Libyanonaggression 1974
- Moroccononaggression 1974
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 100% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 1 transfers
60% of imports from Italy — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 892K refugees originated · 3.3M IDPs · 21K hosted
Djibouti
Ethiopia
Kenya
Oman
Tanzania