Cuba
Cuba ranks #74 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.9/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 40.2/100 (#41 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (20)
- Dominican Republicdefense 1947
- Ecuadordefense 1947
- Guatemaladefense 1947
- Hondurasdefense 1947
- Haitidefense 1947
- Mexicodefense 1947
- Nicaraguadefense 1947
- Panamadefense 1947
- Perudefense 1947
- Paraguaydefense 1947
- El Salvadordefense 1947
- Uruguaydefense 1947
- United Statesdefense 1947
- Venezueladefense 1947
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Disputes (38)
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
- United States15× · 1996
- South Africa1× · 1988
- Jamaica1× · 1983
- Dominica1× · 1983
- St. Lucia1× · 1983
- St. Vincent and the Grenadines1× · 1983
- Barbados1× · 1983
- Antigua and Barbuda1× · 1983
- Morocco2× · 1980
- DR Congo2× · 1978
- Somalia1× · 1978
- France1× · 1977
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2004): 1 transfers
Displacement (UNHCR): 29.4K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 115 hosted
Bahamas
Belize
Dominican Republic
Honduras
Haiti