Ethiopia
Ethiopia ranks #25 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (5.3/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 87/100 (#7 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 100% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2024): 3 transfers
25% of imports from Türkiye — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 164.2K refugees originated · 2.4M IDPs · 1M hosted
Djibouti
Eritrea
Kenya
Saudi Arabia
Sudan