CONFLICTIQ
Africa / SSD

South Sudan

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Instability
77.5
#22 most fragile
Power Rank
#98
0.6 CPI

South Sudan ranks #98 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.6/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 77.5/100 (#22 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forecast conflict risk
78/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS
Forced displacement
93/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Active armed violence
60/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Governance fragility
92/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem

Capability and economy · click a metric to compare

gdp usd
12B
World Bank WDI / 2015
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gdp per capita
1.1K
World Bank WDI / 2015
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population
11.9M
World Bank WDI / 2024
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inflation pct
91.4
World Bank WDI / 2024
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govt debt pct gdp
57.3
IMF WEO / 2026
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fiscal balance pct gdp
1.4
IMF WEO / 2026
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current account pct gdp
3.2
IMF WEO / 2026
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reserves usd
16M
World Bank WDI / 2024
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milex usd
178.4M
SIPRI Milex / 2025
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milex pct gdp
3.4
SIPRI Milex / 2025
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personnel active
53K
COW NMC / 2022
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cinc
0
COW NMC / 2022
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CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.

Capability profile

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

electoral democracy
0.1
V-Dem v15 / 2025
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liberal democracy
0.1
V-Dem v15 / 2025
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state capacity
0.1
V-Dem v15 / 2025
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Energy

primary energy ej
0
Our World in Data (Energy) / 2023
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electricity twh
0.6
Our World in Data (Energy) / 2024
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oil production twh
49.7
Our World in Data (Energy) / 2024
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gas production twh
0
Our World in Data (Energy) / 2016
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Strategic Relationships

Allies (1)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Neighbours (6)

Central African RepublicDR CongoEthiopiaKenyaSudanUganda

Disputes (3)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
4
Ports
0
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
0
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 2% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2022): 1 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)
United Arab Emirates · 1

100% of imports from United Arab Emirates — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 2.4M refugees originated · 1.3M IDPs · 601.8K hosted

Compare South Sudan with

Central African RepublicvsDR CongovsEthiopiavsKenyavsSudanvs

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.