Asia / ARE

United Arab Emirates

United Arab Emirates ranks #43 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (2.4/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 48.5/100 (#30 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forecast conflict risk
62/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS
Forced displacement
35/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
36/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (19)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (10)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
12
Ports
9
Satellites
23
Subsea cables
21
News items
3

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 5 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

24% of imports from France — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 252 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 1.4K hosted

Compare United Arab Emirates with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.