Europe / SRB

Serbia

Serbia ranks #101 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.5/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 36.1/100 (#48 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
76/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
63/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (14)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (165)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
5
Ports
0
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
0
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 5 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

26% of imports from Russia — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 29.7K refugees originated · 209.5K IDPs · 40.9K hosted

Compare Serbia with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.