Europe / RUS

Russia

Russia ranks #3 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (43.2/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 86.7/100 (#8 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forecast conflict risk
100/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS
Active armed violence
81/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Forced displacement
74/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
88/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (47)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (458)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
255
Ports
52
Satellites
1699
Subsea cables
13
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 92% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 5 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

59% of imports from North Korea — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 99.4K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 11.8K hosted

Compare Russia with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.