Europe / POL

Poland

Poland ranks #28 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (4.1/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 18/100 (#139 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
46/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
12/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (36)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (29)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
27
Ports
10
Satellites
13
Subsea cables
1
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 25 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

51% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 1.4K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 990.5K hosted

Compare Poland with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.