CONFLICTIQ
Europe / LVA

Latvia

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Instability
12.7
#177 most fragile
Power Rank
#142
0.3 CPI

Latvia ranks #142 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.3/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 12.7/100 (#177 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
34/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
3/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Capability and economy · click a metric to compare

gdp usd
43.7B
World Bank WDI / 2024
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gdp per capita
23.4K
World Bank WDI / 2024
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population
1.9M
World Bank WDI / 2024
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inflation pct
1.3
World Bank WDI / 2024
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govt debt pct gdp
47.4
IMF WEO / 2026
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fiscal balance pct gdp
-3.3
IMF WEO / 2026
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current account pct gdp
-3.6
IMF WEO / 2026
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reserves usd
-922.4M
IMF IFS / 2025
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gold reserves tonnes
6.7
IMF IFS / 2025
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milex usd
1.7B
SIPRI Milex / 2025
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milex pct gdp
3.6
SIPRI Milex / 2025
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personnel active
7K
COW NMC / 2022
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cinc
0
COW NMC / 2022
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CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.

Capability profile

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

electoral democracy
0.8
V-Dem v15 / 2025
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liberal democracy
0.8
V-Dem v15 / 2025
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state capacity
1
V-Dem v15 / 2025
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Energy

primary energy ej
0.1
Our World in Data (Energy) / 2024
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electricity twh
6.3
Our World in Data (Energy) / 2025
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oil production twh
0
Our World in Data (Energy) / 2016
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gas production twh
0
Our World in Data (Energy) / 2016
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Strategic Relationships

Allies (7)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Neighbours (9)

BelarusGermanyDenmarkEstoniaFinlandLithuaniaPolandRussiaSweden

Disputes (9)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
4
Ports
2
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
3
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 7 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)
Israel · 5United States · 4Sweden · 4Germany · 3Norway · 2United Kingdom · 2

21% of imports from Israel — supplier dependence

Arms clients (transfers)
Ukraine · 6

Displacement (UNHCR): 189 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 32.5K hosted

Compare Latvia with

BelarusvsGermanyvsDenmarkvsEstoniavsFinlandvs

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.