Belarus
Belarus ranks #85 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.7/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 34.9/100 (#53 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (14)
- Russiadefense 2009
- Kazakhstandefense 1995
- Kyrgyzstandefense 1995
- Moldovadefense 1995
- Tajikistandefense 1995
- Turkmenistandefense 1995
- Ukrainedefense 1995
- Uzbekistandefense 1995
- Armeniadefense 1995
- Georgiadefense 1993
- Azerbaijandefense 1993
- Lithuanianeutrality 1995
- Bulgarianeutrality 1993
- Polandneutrality 1992
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Disputes (1)
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
- Lithuania1× · 2001
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 2 transfers
85% of imports from Russia — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 19.5K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 40.8K hosted
Lithuania
Latvia
Poland
Russia
Ukraine