Lithuania
Lithuania ranks #105 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.5/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 12.5/100 (#179 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (7)
- Russiadefense 1939
- Moldovaneutrality 1995
- Belarusneutrality 1995
- Polandneutrality 1994
- Ukraineneutrality 1994
- Latviaentente 1934
- Estoniaentente 1934
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Disputes (17)
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
- Russia6× · 2014
- Libya1× · 2011
- Belarus1× · 2001
- Serbia2× · 2000
- Equatorial Guinea1× · 2000
- Germany1× · 1939
- Poland2× · 1938
- United Kingdom1× · 1923
- France1× · 1923
- Italy1× · 1923
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 10 transfers
40% of imports from United States — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 101 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 54.4K hosted
Belarus
Germany
Denmark
Finland
Latvia