Europe / UKR

Ukraine

Ukraine ranks #8 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (10.6/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 95.6/100 (#1 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forecast conflict risk
100/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS
Active armed violence
100/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Forced displacement
98/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
61/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (16)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (12)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
32
Ports
26
Satellites
6
Subsea cables
3
News items
6

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 100% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 86 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

30% of imports from United States — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 5.2M refugees originated · 3.7M IDPs · 2.4K hosted

Compare Ukraine with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.