India
India ranks #4 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (18.1/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 75.9/100 (#24 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (13)
- Pakistannonaggression 1972
- Bangladeshneutrality 1972
- Russianonaggression 1971
- Cambodianeutrality 1962
- Myanmarneutrality 1962
- Polandneutrality 1962
- Thailandneutrality 1962
- United Statesneutrality 1962
- Vietnamneutrality 1962
- Canadaneutrality 1962
- Chinaneutrality 1962
- Franceneutrality 1962
- United Kingdomneutrality 1962
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Disputes (94)
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
- China22× · 2014
- Bangladesh18× · 2013
- Iran1× · 2013
- Italy1× · 2012
- Pakistan40× · 2010
- Sri Lanka3× · 2008
- Nepal4× · 2005
- Myanmar2× · 2004
- Papua New Guinea1× · 1992
- Portugal2× · 1961
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 96% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 34 transfers
29% of imports from Russia — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 42.6K refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 238.6K hosted
Bangladesh
Bhutan
China
Indonesia
Sri Lanka