Oceania / PNG

Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea ranks #96 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.6/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 35.4/100 (#50 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
68/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Active armed violence
45/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Governance fragility
49/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (0)

No alliance data loaded.

Disputes (11)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
21
Ports
22
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
5
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2023): 2 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

50% of imports from New Zealand — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 644 refugees originated · 70.1K IDPs · 7.7K hosted

Compare Papua New Guinea with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.