Syria
Syria ranks #50 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (1.9/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 88.8/100 (#5 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (21)
- Libyadefense 1980
- Algeriadefense 1964
- Sudandefense 1964
- Tunisiadefense 1961
- Iraqdefense 1961
- Jordandefense 1961
- Moroccodefense 1961
- Saudi Arabiadefense 1961
- Iranentente 2006
- Lebanonentente 1991
- Yemennonaggression 1990
- Egyptnonaggression 1989
- Russianonaggression 1980
- Djiboutinonaggression 1975
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Disputes (88)
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
- Israel41× · 2014
- Türkiye13× · 2014
- United States8× · 2014
- Iraq7× · 2014
- Lebanon5× · 2014
- Jordan10× · 2013
- United Kingdom2× · 2013
- Saudi Arabia1× · 2013
- Malta1× · 1989
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 100% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 2 transfers
50% of imports from Türkiye — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 4.9M refugees originated · 5.5M IDPs · 9.9K hosted
Cyprus
Egypt
Iraq
Israel
Jordan