Africa / NER

Niger

Niger ranks #111 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.4/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 78.8/100 (#20 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forecast conflict risk
100/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS
Forced displacement
81/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Active armed violence
65/100 · weight 30%
UCDP GED
Governance fragility
42/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (23)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (5)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
6
Ports
0
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
0
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 99% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 2 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

33% of imports from Türkiye — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 85.6K refugees originated · 459.6K IDPs · 386K hosted

Compare Niger with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.