Nigeria
Nigeria ranks #45 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (2.1/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 87.3/100 (#6 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (15)
- Senegaldefense 1981
- Sierra Leonedefense 1981
- Togodefense 1981
- Benindefense 1981
- Burkina Fasodefense 1981
- Côte d'Ivoiredefense 1981
- Cabo Verdedefense 1981
- Ghanadefense 1981
- Guineadefense 1981
- Gambiadefense 1981
- Guinea-Bissaudefense 1981
- Liberiadefense 1981
- Malidefense 1981
- Mauritaniadefense 1981
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Disputes (14)
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
- Cameroon7× · 2005
- Benin1× · 2000
- Liberia2× · 1999
- Sierra Leone1× · 1998
- Chad2× · 1995
- Côte d'Ivoire1× · 1993
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 100% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 2 transfers
28% of imports from China — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 478.2K refugees originated · 3.5M IDPs · 123.8K hosted
Benin
Cameroon
Gabon
Ghana
Equatorial Guinea