CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

China vs Taiwan

China
94%
RAI
Taiwan
6%

Verdict

China holds a 94–6 advantage over Taiwan on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (95% of the combined total, $336bn) and logistics & power projection (93% of the combined total, 402).

2 factors — economic size (GDP), nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorChinaShareTaiwanWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$336bn
95%5%
$18.2bn45%
Active personnel
COW NMC
2.0m
92%8%
169.0k27%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
402
93%7%
2827%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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Sts. v PalauMicronesia, Fed. 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