CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Egypt vs Ethiopia

Egypt
72%
RAI
Ethiopia
28%

Verdict

Egypt holds a 72–28 advantage over Ethiopia on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (83% of the combined total, $2.5bn) and economic size (GDP) (72% of the combined total, $389bn). Ethiopia leads on active personnel.

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorEgyptShareEthiopiaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$2.5bn
83%17%
$528m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$389bn
72%28%
$150bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
439.0k
47%53%
503.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
58
78%22%
1620%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Egypt dossier →Full Ethiopia dossier →Run a war game →

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