CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Estonia vs Latvia

Estonia
51%
RAI
Latvia
49%

Verdict

Estonia and Latvia are close to evenly matched, 51–49 on the Relative Advantage Index.

Estonia leads on logistics & power projection (60% of the combined total, 9), which Latvia offsets elsewhere.

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorEstoniaShareLatviaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$1.6bn
48%52%
$1.7bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$43.1bn
50%50%
$43.7bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
7.0k
50%50%
7.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
9
60%40%
620%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Estonia dossier →Full Latvia dossier →Run a war game →

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Every combination inside the top 30 of the Composite Power Index.

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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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