CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Ethiopia vs Italy

Ethiopia
19%
RAI
Italy
81%

Verdict

Italy holds a 81–19 advantage over Ethiopia on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (99% of the combined total, $48.1bn) and economic size (GDP) (94% of the combined total, $2.4tn). Ethiopia leads on active personnel.

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorEthiopiaShareItalyWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$528m
1%99%
$48.1bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$150bn
6%94%
$2.4tn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
503.0k
76%24%
161.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
16
10%90%
15220%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Ethiopia dossier →Full Italy dossier →Run a war game →

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