CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Finland vs Lithuania

Finland
72%
RAI
Lithuania
28%

Verdict

Finland holds a 72–28 advantage over Lithuania on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (73% of the combined total, $8.1bn) and economic size (GDP) (78% of the combined total, $299bn). Lithuania leads on active personnel.

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorFinlandShareLithuaniaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$8.1bn
73%27%
$3.0bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$299bn
78%22%
$84.9bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
19.0k
45%55%
23.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
45
87%13%
720%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Finland dossier →Full Lithuania dossier →Run a war game →

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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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