CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Honduras vs Nicaragua

Honduras
72%
RAI
Nicaragua
28%

Verdict

Honduras holds a 72–28 advantage over Nicaragua on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (83% of the combined total, $580m) and economic size (GDP) (65% of the combined total, $37.1bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorHondurasShareNicaraguaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$580m
83%17%
$116m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$37.1bn
65%35%
$19.7bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
15.0k
56%44%
12.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
11
79%21%
320%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Honduras dossier →Full Nicaragua dossier →Run a war game →

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