CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Italy vs Ukraine

Italy
55%
RAI
Ukraine
45%

Verdict

Italy holds a 55–45 advantage over Ukraine on the Relative Advantage Index.

The margin is driven by economic size (GDP) (93% of the combined total, $2.4tn) and logistics & power projection (72% of the combined total, 152). Ukraine leads on active personnel and military spending.

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorItalyShareUkraineWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$48.1bn
36%64%
$84.1bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$2.4tn
93%7%
$191bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
161.0k
19%81%
688.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
152
72%28%
5820%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

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