CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Mozambique vs South Africa

Mozambique
14%
RAI
South Africa
86%

Verdict

South Africa holds a 86–14 advantage over Mozambique on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (87% of the combined total, $3.2bn) and economic size (GDP) (95% of the combined total, $401bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorMozambiqueShareSouth AfricaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$468m
13%87%
$3.2bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$22.7bn
5%95%
$401bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
11.0k
13%87%
74.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
27
28%72%
7020%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Mozambique dossier →Full South Africa dossier →Run a war game →

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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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Sts. v PalauMicronesia, Fed. 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