Mozambique
Mozambique ranks #106 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.5/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 43.8/100 (#33 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.
What drives the instability score
Capability and economy · click a metric to compare
CINC is a composite index (already contains military spending, personnel, energy & population) — shown for reference; it is not added into the Composite Power Index to avoid double-counting. Each figure carries its own source year; vintages can differ.
Capability profile
Trajectory
Governance
Energy
Strategic Relationships
Allies (2)
- South Africaneutrality 1984
- Russianonaggression 1977
COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.
Disputes (6)
COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.
- Eswatini1× · 1994
- South Africa3× · 1987
- Malawi1× · 1986
- Zimbabwe1× · 1977
Signals
Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk
Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2025): 2 transfers
56% of imports from South Africa — supplier dependence
Displacement (UNHCR): 119 refugees originated · 461.7K IDPs · 5.1K hosted
Compare Mozambique with
Comoros
Madagascar
Malawi
Eswatini
SeychellesNeighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.