Africa / MDG

Madagascar

Madagascar ranks #95 of 242 on the Composite Power Index (0.6/100), scored on military spending, active personnel, nuclear arsenal, economic size and logistics. Its Instability Index is 27.2/100 (#91 most fragile). Every figure below carries its source and year. Data read 2026-08-04.

What drives the instability score

Forced displacement
42/100 · weight 25%
UNHCR
Governance fragility
85/100 · weight 10%
V-Dem
Forecast conflict risk
0/100 · weight 35%
ViEWS

Trajectory

GDP (USD)
Military spending (SIPRI, USD)
Arms imports (SIPRI, transfers/yr)

Governance

Energy

Strategic Relationships

Allies (13)

COW alliance ties — includes historical pacts; defense first.

Disputes (1)

COW Dyadic MID, 1816–2014 — historical register, not live rivalries. Count = militarized disputes; year = most recent; ● = peak intensity.

Signals

Airports
23
Ports
13
Satellites
0
Subsea cables
5
News items
0

Conflict forecast (ViEWS, 2029-04-01): 0% risk

Arms imports (SIPRI Arms Transfers, 2024): 1 transfers

Arms suppliers (2021–2025, transfers)

100% of imports from Czechia — supplier dependence

Displacement (UNHCR): 637 refugees originated · 0 IDPs · 87 hosted

Compare Madagascar with

Neighbours and leading powers — each links to its own sourced dossier.