CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Ethiopia vs Somalia

Ethiopia
80%
RAI
Somalia
20%

Verdict

Ethiopia holds a 80–20 advantage over Somalia on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by economic size (GDP) (93% of the combined total, $150bn) and military spending (73% of the combined total, $528m).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorEthiopiaShareSomaliaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$528m
73%27%
$199m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$150bn
93%7%
$12.0bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
503.0k
97%3%
14.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
16
59%41%
1120%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Ethiopia dossier →Full Somalia dossier →Run a war game →

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Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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