CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Guatemala vs Mexico

Guatemala
6%
RAI
Mexico
94%

Verdict

Mexico holds a 94–6 advantage over Guatemala on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (96% of the combined total, $13.6bn) and economic size (GDP) (94% of the combined total, $1.9tn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorGuatemalaShareMexicoWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$633m
4%96%
$13.6bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$113bn
6%94%
$1.9tn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
18.0k
8%92%
216.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
7
7%93%
8920%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Guatemala dossier →Full Mexico dossier →Run a war game →

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Major-power matchups (435)

Every combination inside the top 30 of the Composite Power Index.

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IndonesiaColombia v IranColombia v ItalyColombia v JapanColombia v MexicoColombia v MyanmarColombia v North KoreaColombia v PakistanColombia v PhilippinesColombia v PolandColombia v RussiaColombia v Saudi ArabiaColombia v South KoreaColombia v SpainColombia v ThailandColombia v TürkiyeColombia v UkraineColombia v United KingdomColombia v United StatesColombia v VietnamEgypt v EthiopiaEgypt v FranceEgypt v GermanyEgypt v IndiaEgypt v IndonesiaEgypt v IranEgypt v ItalyEgypt v JapanEgypt v MexicoEgypt v MyanmarEgypt v North KoreaEgypt v PakistanEgypt v PhilippinesEgypt v PolandEgypt v RussiaEgypt v Saudi ArabiaEgypt v South KoreaEgypt v SpainEgypt v ThailandEgypt v TürkiyeEgypt v UkraineEgypt v United KingdomEgypt v United StatesEgypt v VietnamEthiopia v FranceEthiopia v GermanyEthiopia v IndiaEthiopia v IndonesiaEthiopia v IranEthiopia v ItalyEthiopia v JapanEthiopia v MexicoEthiopia v MyanmarEthiopia v North KoreaEthiopia v PakistanEthiopia v PhilippinesEthiopia v PolandEthiopia v RussiaEthiopia v Saudi ArabiaEthiopia v South KoreaEthiopia v SpainEthiopia v ThailandEthiopia v TürkiyeEthiopia v UkraineEthiopia v United KingdomEthiopia v United StatesEthiopia v VietnamFrance v GermanyFrance v IndiaFrance v IndonesiaFrance v IranFrance v ItalyFrance v JapanFrance v MexicoFrance v MyanmarFrance v North KoreaFrance v PakistanFrance v PhilippinesFrance v PolandFrance v RussiaFrance v Saudi ArabiaFrance v South KoreaFrance v SpainFrance v ThailandFrance v TürkiyeFrance v UkraineFrance v United KingdomFrance v United StatesFrance v VietnamGermany v IndiaGermany v IndonesiaGermany v IranGermany v ItalyGermany v JapanGermany v MexicoGermany v MyanmarGermany v North KoreaGermany v PakistanGermany v PhilippinesGermany v PolandGermany v RussiaGermany v Saudi ArabiaGermany v South KoreaGermany v SpainGermany v ThailandGermany v TürkiyeGermany v UkraineGermany v United KingdomGermany v United StatesGermany v VietnamIndia v IndonesiaIndia v IranIndia v ItalyIndia v JapanIndia v MexicoIndia v MyanmarIndia v North KoreaIndia v PakistanIndia v PhilippinesIndia v PolandIndia v RussiaIndia v Saudi ArabiaIndia v South KoreaIndia v SpainIndia v ThailandIndia v TürkiyeIndia v UkraineIndia v United KingdomIndia v United StatesIndia v VietnamIndonesia v IranIndonesia v ItalyIndonesia v JapanIndonesia v MexicoIndonesia v MyanmarIndonesia v North KoreaIndonesia v PakistanIndonesia v PhilippinesIndonesia v PolandIndonesia v RussiaIndonesia v Saudi ArabiaIndonesia v South KoreaIndonesia v SpainIndonesia v ThailandIndonesia v TürkiyeIndonesia v UkraineIndonesia v United KingdomIndonesia v United StatesIndonesia v VietnamIran v ItalyIran v JapanIran v MexicoIran v MyanmarIran v North KoreaIran v PakistanIran v PhilippinesIran v PolandIran v RussiaIran v Saudi ArabiaIran v South KoreaIran v SpainIran v ThailandIran v TürkiyeIran v UkraineIran v United KingdomIran v United StatesIran v VietnamItaly v JapanItaly v MexicoItaly v MyanmarItaly v North KoreaItaly v PakistanItaly v PhilippinesItaly v PolandItaly v RussiaItaly v Saudi ArabiaItaly v South KoreaItaly v SpainItaly v ThailandItaly v TürkiyeItaly v UkraineItaly v United KingdomItaly v United StatesItaly v VietnamJapan v MexicoJapan v MyanmarJapan v North KoreaJapan v PakistanJapan v PhilippinesJapan v PolandJapan v RussiaJapan v Saudi ArabiaJapan v South KoreaJapan v SpainJapan v ThailandJapan v TürkiyeJapan v UkraineJapan v United KingdomJapan v United StatesJapan v VietnamMexico v MyanmarMexico v North KoreaMexico v PakistanMexico v PhilippinesMexico v PolandMexico v RussiaMexico v Saudi ArabiaMexico v South KoreaMexico v SpainMexico v ThailandMexico v TürkiyeMexico v UkraineMexico v United KingdomMexico v United StatesMexico v VietnamMyanmar v North KoreaMyanmar v PakistanMyanmar v PhilippinesMyanmar v PolandMyanmar v RussiaMyanmar v Saudi ArabiaMyanmar v South KoreaMyanmar v SpainMyanmar v ThailandMyanmar v TürkiyeMyanmar v UkraineMyanmar v United KingdomMyanmar v United StatesMyanmar v VietnamNorth Korea v PakistanNorth Korea v PhilippinesNorth Korea v PolandNorth Korea v RussiaNorth Korea v Saudi ArabiaNorth Korea v South KoreaNorth Korea v SpainNorth Korea v ThailandNorth Korea v TürkiyeNorth Korea v UkraineNorth Korea v United KingdomNorth Korea v United StatesNorth Korea v VietnamPakistan v PhilippinesPakistan v PolandPakistan v RussiaPakistan v Saudi ArabiaPakistan v South KoreaPakistan v SpainPakistan v ThailandPakistan v TürkiyePakistan v UkrainePakistan v United KingdomPakistan v United StatesPakistan v VietnamPhilippines v PolandPhilippines v RussiaPhilippines v Saudi ArabiaPhilippines v South KoreaPhilippines v SpainPhilippines v ThailandPhilippines v TürkiyePhilippines v UkrainePhilippines v United KingdomPhilippines v United StatesPhilippines v VietnamPoland v RussiaPoland v Saudi ArabiaPoland v South KoreaPoland v SpainPoland v ThailandPoland v TürkiyePoland v UkrainePoland v United KingdomPoland v United StatesPoland v VietnamRussia v Saudi ArabiaRussia 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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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GermanyAustria v HungaryAustria v ItalyAustria v LiechtensteinAustria v SerbiaAustria v SlovakiaAustria v SloveniaAustria v SwitzerlandAzerbaijan v GeorgiaAzerbaijan v IranAzerbaijan v KazakhstanAzerbaijan v RussiaAzerbaijan v TürkiyeAzerbaijan v TurkmenistanBahamas v CubaBahamas v Dominican RepublicBahamas v HaitiBahamas v JamaicaBahamas v United StatesBahrain v IranBahrain v IraqBahrain v KuwaitBahrain v OmanBahrain v QatarBahrain v Saudi ArabiaBahrain v United Arab EmiratesBangladesh v IndiaBangladesh v MyanmarBarbados v DominicaBarbados v GrenadaBarbados v GuyanaBarbados v St. LuciaBarbados v St. Vincent and the GrenadinesBarbados v Trinidad and TobagoBarbados v VenezuelaBelarus v LatviaBelarus v LithuaniaBelarus v PolandBelarus v RussiaBelarus v UkraineBelgium v DenmarkBelgium v FranceBelgium v GermanyBelgium v LuxembourgBelgium v NetherlandsBelgium v United KingdomBelize v CubaBelize v GuatemalaBelize v HondurasBelize v MexicoBenin v Burkina FasoBenin v GhanaBenin v NigerBenin v NigeriaBenin v TogoBhutan v ChinaBhutan v IndiaBolivia v BrazilBolivia v ChileBolivia v ParaguayBolivia v PeruBosnia and Herzegovina v CroatiaBosnia and Herzegovina v MontenegroBosnia and Herzegovina v SerbiaBotswana v NamibiaBotswana v South AfricaBotswana v ZambiaBotswana v ZimbabweBrazil v EcuadorBrazil v GuyanaBrazil v ParaguayBrazil v PeruBrazil v SurinameBrazil v UruguayBrazil v VenezuelaBrunei Darussalam v MalaysiaBrunei Darussalam v PhilippinesBulgaria v GreeceBulgaria v North MacedoniaBulgaria v RomaniaBulgaria v RussiaBulgaria v SerbiaBulgaria v TürkiyeBulgaria v UkraineBurkina Faso v Côte d'IvoireBurkina Faso v GhanaBurkina Faso v MaliBurkina Faso v NigerBurkina Faso v TogoBurundi v DR CongoBurundi v RwandaBurundi v TanzaniaCabo Verde v SenegalCambodia v LaosCambodia v MalaysiaCambodia v ThailandCambodia v VietnamCameroon v Central African RepublicCameroon v ChadCameroon v Congo RepublicCameroon v Equatorial GuineaCameroon v GabonCameroon v NigerCameroon v NigeriaCameroon v 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United StatesCyprus v EgyptCyprus v GreeceCyprus v IsraelCyprus v LebanonCyprus v SyriaCyprus v TürkiyeCzechia v GermanyCzechia v PolandCzechia v SlovakiaDenmark v EstoniaDenmark v FranceDenmark v GermanyDenmark v LatviaDenmark v LithuaniaDenmark v NetherlandsDenmark v NorwayDenmark v PolandDenmark v SwedenDenmark v United KingdomDjibouti v EritreaDjibouti v EthiopiaDjibouti v Saudi ArabiaDjibouti v SomaliaDjibouti v YemenDominica v GrenadaDominica v St. Kitts and NevisDominica v St. LuciaDominica v St. Vincent and the GrenadinesDominica v VenezuelaDominican Republic v HaitiDominican Republic v JamaicaDominican Republic v St. Kitts and NevisDR Congo v RwandaDR Congo v South SudanDR Congo v SudanDR Congo v TanzaniaDR Congo v UgandaDR Congo v ZambiaEcuador v PeruEgypt v GreeceEgypt v IraqEgypt v IsraelEgypt v JordanEgypt v LebanonEgypt v LibyaEgypt v SudanEgypt v SyriaEl Salvador v GuatemalaEl Salvador v HondurasEl Salvador v NicaraguaEquatorial Guinea v GabonEquatorial Guinea v NigeriaEquatorial Guinea v Sao Tome and PrincipeEritrea v EthiopiaEritrea v Saudi ArabiaEritrea v SudanEritrea v YemenEstonia v FinlandEstonia v GermanyEstonia v LatviaEstonia v PolandEstonia v SwedenEswatini v MozambiqueEswatini v South AfricaEthiopia v KenyaEthiopia v SomaliaEthiopia v South SudanEthiopia v SudanEthiopia v YemenFiji v TongaFiji v TuvaluFinland v GermanyFinland v LatviaFinland v LithuaniaFinland v NorwayFinland v SwedenFrance v IrelandFrance v LuxembourgFrance v MonacoFrance v NetherlandsFrance v SwitzerlandFrance v TunisiaFrance v VaticanGabon v NigeriaGabon v Sao Tome and PrincipeGambia v SenegalGeorgia v RussiaGeorgia v TürkiyeGeorgia v UkraineGermany v HungaryGermany v LatviaGermany v LithuaniaGermany v LuxembourgGermany v NetherlandsGermany v NorwayGermany v SerbiaGermany v SwedenGermany v SwitzerlandGhana v NigeriaGhana v TogoGreece v LibyaGreece v MaltaGreece v North MacedoniaGrenada v GuyanaGrenada v St. Kitts and NevisGrenada v St. Vincent and the 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Sts.Indonesia v PalauIndonesia v Papua New GuineaIndonesia v SingaporeIndonesia v Timor-LesteIran v IraqIran v KazakhstanIran v KuwaitIran v OmanIran v QatarIran v TurkmenistanIran v United Arab EmiratesIraq v JordanIraq v KuwaitIraq v QatarIraq v SyriaIreland v United KingdomIsrael v JordanIsrael v LebanonIsrael v Saudi ArabiaIsrael v SyriaItaly v LibyaItaly v MaltaItaly v MonacoItaly v MontenegroItaly v San MarinoItaly v SloveniaItaly v SwitzerlandItaly v TunisiaItaly v VaticanJamaica v NicaraguaJapan v TaiwanJordan v Saudi ArabiaJordan v SyriaKazakhstan v KyrgyzstanKazakhstan v RussiaKazakhstan v TurkmenistanKazakhstan v UzbekistanKenya v SomaliaKenya v South SudanKenya v SudanKenya v TanzaniaKenya v UgandaKiribati v Marshall IslandsKiribati v NauruKiribati v TuvaluKuwait v QatarKuwait v Saudi ArabiaKyrgyzstan v TajikistanKyrgyzstan v UzbekistanLaos v MyanmarLaos v ThailandLaos v VietnamLatvia v LithuaniaLebanon v SyriaLebanon v TürkiyeLesotho v South AfricaLiberia v Sierra LeoneLibya v MaltaLibya v NigerLibya v TunisiaLiechtenstein v SwitzerlandMadagascar v MozambiqueMadagascar v SeychellesMalawi v MozambiqueMalawi v TanzaniaMalawi v ZambiaMalaysia v PhilippinesMalaysia v SingaporeMalaysia v VietnamMali v MauritaniaMali v SenegalMalta v TunisiaMauritania v MoroccoMauritania v SenegalMauritania v SpainMauritius v SeychellesMicronesia, Fed. Sts. v PalauMicronesia, Fed. Sts. v Papua New GuineaMoldova v RomaniaMoldova v UkraineMonaco v SpainMongolia v RussiaMontenegro v SerbiaMorocco v PortugalMorocco v SpainMozambique v SeychellesMozambique v South AfricaMozambique v TanzaniaMozambique v ZambiaMozambique v ZimbabweNamibia v South AfricaNamibia v ZambiaNetherlands v NorwayNetherlands v United KingdomNicaragua v PanamaNigeria v Sao Tome and PrincipeNigeria v TogoNorth Macedonia v SerbiaNorway v United KingdomOman v PakistanOman v QatarOman v SomaliaOman v United Arab EmiratesOman v YemenPalau v PhilippinesPapua New Guinea v Solomon IslandsPhilippines v TaiwanPoland v RomaniaPoland v SlovakiaPortugal v SpainQatar v United Arab EmiratesRomania v RussiaRussia v TurkmenistanRwanda v TanzaniaRwanda v UgandaSamoa v TongaSaudi Arabia v United Arab EmiratesSaudi Arabia v YemenSeychelles v TanzaniaSlovakia v UkraineSolomon Islands v VanuatuSomalia v TanzaniaSouth Africa v ZimbabweSouth Sudan v SudanSouth Sudan v UgandaSpain v TunisiaSt. Kitts and Nevis v St. LuciaSt. Lucia v Trinidad and TobagoSudan v UgandaSuriname v Trinidad and TobagoSweden v United KingdomTajikistan v UzbekistanTürkiye v VaticanTurkmenistan v UzbekistanZambia v Zimbabwe