CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Kenya vs Somalia

Kenya
80%
RAI
Somalia
20%

Verdict

Kenya holds a 80–20 advantage over Somalia on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (88% of the combined total, $1.5bn) and economic size (GDP) (91% of the combined total, $120bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorKenyaShareSomaliaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$1.5bn
88%12%
$199m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$120bn
91%9%
$12.0bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
24.0k
63%37%
14.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
22
67%33%
1120%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Kenya dossier →Full Somalia dossier →Run a war game →

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Every combination inside the top 30 of the Composite Power Index.

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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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NigeriaBenin v TogoBhutan v ChinaBhutan v IndiaBolivia v BrazilBolivia v ChileBolivia v ParaguayBolivia v PeruBosnia and Herzegovina v CroatiaBosnia and Herzegovina v MontenegroBosnia and Herzegovina v SerbiaBotswana v NamibiaBotswana v South AfricaBotswana v ZambiaBotswana v ZimbabweBrazil v EcuadorBrazil v GuyanaBrazil v ParaguayBrazil v PeruBrazil v SurinameBrazil v UruguayBrazil v VenezuelaBrunei Darussalam v MalaysiaBrunei Darussalam v PhilippinesBulgaria v GreeceBulgaria v North MacedoniaBulgaria v RomaniaBulgaria v RussiaBulgaria v SerbiaBulgaria v TürkiyeBulgaria v UkraineBurkina Faso v Côte d'IvoireBurkina Faso v GhanaBurkina Faso v MaliBurkina Faso v NigerBurkina Faso v TogoBurundi v DR CongoBurundi v RwandaBurundi v TanzaniaCabo Verde v SenegalCambodia v LaosCambodia v MalaysiaCambodia v ThailandCambodia v VietnamCameroon v Central African RepublicCameroon v ChadCameroon v Congo RepublicCameroon v Equatorial GuineaCameroon v GabonCameroon v NigerCameroon v NigeriaCameroon v 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United StatesCyprus v EgyptCyprus v GreeceCyprus v IsraelCyprus v LebanonCyprus v SyriaCyprus v TürkiyeCzechia v GermanyCzechia v PolandCzechia v SlovakiaDenmark v EstoniaDenmark v FranceDenmark v GermanyDenmark v LatviaDenmark v LithuaniaDenmark v NetherlandsDenmark v NorwayDenmark v PolandDenmark v SwedenDenmark v United KingdomDjibouti v EritreaDjibouti v EthiopiaDjibouti v Saudi ArabiaDjibouti v SomaliaDjibouti v YemenDominica v GrenadaDominica v St. Kitts and NevisDominica v St. LuciaDominica v St. Vincent and the GrenadinesDominica v VenezuelaDominican Republic v HaitiDominican Republic v JamaicaDominican Republic v St. Kitts and NevisDR Congo v RwandaDR Congo v South SudanDR Congo v SudanDR Congo v TanzaniaDR Congo v UgandaDR Congo v ZambiaEcuador v PeruEgypt v GreeceEgypt v IraqEgypt v IsraelEgypt v JordanEgypt v LebanonEgypt v LibyaEgypt v SudanEgypt v SyriaEl Salvador v GuatemalaEl Salvador v HondurasEl Salvador v NicaraguaEquatorial Guinea v GabonEquatorial Guinea v NigeriaEquatorial Guinea v Sao Tome and PrincipeEritrea v EthiopiaEritrea v Saudi ArabiaEritrea v SudanEritrea v YemenEstonia v FinlandEstonia v GermanyEstonia v LatviaEstonia v PolandEstonia v SwedenEswatini v MozambiqueEswatini v South AfricaEthiopia v KenyaEthiopia v SomaliaEthiopia v South SudanEthiopia v SudanEthiopia v YemenFiji v TongaFiji v TuvaluFinland v GermanyFinland v LatviaFinland v LithuaniaFinland v NorwayFinland v SwedenFrance v IrelandFrance v LuxembourgFrance v MonacoFrance v NetherlandsFrance v SwitzerlandFrance v TunisiaFrance v VaticanGabon v NigeriaGabon v Sao Tome and PrincipeGambia v SenegalGeorgia v RussiaGeorgia v TürkiyeGeorgia v UkraineGermany v HungaryGermany v LatviaGermany v LithuaniaGermany v LuxembourgGermany v NetherlandsGermany v NorwayGermany v SerbiaGermany v SwedenGermany v SwitzerlandGhana v NigeriaGhana v TogoGreece v LibyaGreece v MaltaGreece v North MacedoniaGrenada v GuyanaGrenada v St. Kitts and NevisGrenada v St. Vincent and the 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Sts. v PalauMicronesia, Fed. Sts. v Papua New GuineaMoldova v RomaniaMoldova v UkraineMonaco v SpainMongolia v RussiaMontenegro v SerbiaMorocco v PortugalMorocco v SpainMozambique v SeychellesMozambique v South AfricaMozambique v TanzaniaMozambique v ZambiaMozambique v ZimbabweNamibia v South AfricaNamibia v ZambiaNetherlands v NorwayNetherlands v United KingdomNicaragua v PanamaNigeria v Sao Tome and PrincipeNigeria v TogoNorth Macedonia v SerbiaNorway v United KingdomOman v PakistanOman v QatarOman v SomaliaOman v United Arab EmiratesOman v YemenPalau v PhilippinesPapua New Guinea v Solomon IslandsPhilippines v TaiwanPoland v RomaniaPoland v SlovakiaPortugal v SpainQatar v United Arab EmiratesRomania v RussiaRussia v TurkmenistanRwanda v TanzaniaRwanda v UgandaSamoa v TongaSaudi Arabia v United Arab EmiratesSaudi Arabia v YemenSeychelles v TanzaniaSlovakia v UkraineSolomon Islands v VanuatuSomalia v TanzaniaSouth Africa v ZimbabweSouth Sudan v SudanSouth Sudan v UgandaSpain v TunisiaSt. Kitts and Nevis v St. LuciaSt. Lucia v Trinidad and TobagoSudan v UgandaSuriname v Trinidad and TobagoSweden v United KingdomTajikistan v UzbekistanTürkiye v VaticanTurkmenistan v UzbekistanZambia v Zimbabwe