CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Poland vs Russia

Poland
18%
RAI
Russia
82%

Verdict

Russia holds a 82–18 advantage over Poland on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (80% of the combined total, $190bn) and economic size (GDP) (70% of the combined total, $2.2tn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorPolandShareRussiaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$46.8bn
20%80%
$190bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$918bn
30%70%
$2.2tn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
114.0k
9%91%
1.2m20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
37
11%89%
30720%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

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