CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Guinea vs Senegal

Guinea
42%
RAI
Senegal
58%

Verdict

Senegal holds a 58–42 advantage over Guinea on the Relative Advantage Index.

The margin is driven by logistics & power projection (76% of the combined total, 16) and economic size (GDP) (57% of the combined total, $32.8bn). Guinea leads on military spending.

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorGuineaShareSenegalWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$601m
51%49%
$567m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$25.0bn
43%57%
$32.8bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
10.0k
42%58%
14.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
5
24%76%
1620%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Guinea dossier →Full Senegal dossier →Run a war game →

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Neighbour rivalries (473)

Bordering states — the comparisons people actually search for.

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