CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Equatorial Guinea vs Nigeria

Equatorial Guinea
8%
RAI
Nigeria
92%

Verdict

Nigeria holds a 92–8 advantage over Equatorial Guinea on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (95% of the combined total, $2.1bn) and economic size (GDP) (95% of the combined total, $252bn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorEquatorial GuineaShareNigeriaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$121m
5%95%
$2.1bn33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$12.8bn
5%95%
$252bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
1.0k
1%99%
143.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
10
23%77%
3420%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Equatorial Guinea dossier →Full Nigeria dossier →Run a war game →

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