CONFLICTIQ
HEAD TO HEAD

Indonesia vs Papua New Guinea

Indonesia
95%
RAI
Papua New Guinea
5%

Verdict

Indonesia holds a 95–5 advantage over Papua New Guinea on the Relative Advantage Index, a decisive margin.

The margin is driven by military spending (99% of the combined total, $15.0bn) and economic size (GDP) (98% of the combined total, $1.4tn).

1 factor — nuclear warheads — could not be scored because the figure is unpublished for at least one side. Those factors are excluded and the remaining weights renormalised, never substituted.

Factor by factor

FactorIndonesiaSharePapua New GuineaWeight
Military spending
SIPRI Milex
$15.0bn
99%1%
$106m33%
Economic size (GDP)
World Bank WDI
$1.4tn
98%2%
$31.8bn27%
Active personnel
COW NMC
396.0k
99%1%
4.0k20%
Logistics & power projection
OurAirports
198
82%18%
4320%

Shares are each side's portion of the combined total for that factor. Weights are renormalised across the factors both sides publish — see the methodology. Data read 2026-08-04.

Full Indonesia dossier →Full Papua New Guinea dossier →Run a war game →

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